– Seven of Spain’s last 10 matches have featured over 2.5 goals
– Germany have scored two or more goals in 10 of their last 13 games
– Recommended bet: Over 2.5 goals
Spain and Germany have been two of the most impressive teams at Euro 2024 and they go head to head in the first quarter-final on Friday.
La Roja are the only team to have won all four of their matches, coming from behind to see off Georgia 4-1 in the last 16.
However, they face a Germany side who have scored 10 goals in four games and will be backed by a raucous home crowd in Stuttgart.
Team news
Spain have no fresh injury concerns so Luis de la Fuente could name the same team who started against Georgia with Chelsea’s Marc Cucurella at left-back and a front three of Nico Williams, Alvaro Morata and Lamine Yamal.
Germany centre-back Jonathan Tah returns from suspension and should replace Nico Schlotterbeck.
Wingers Florian Wirtz and Leroy Sane are competing for a place on the right flank while left-back David Raum got the nod over Maximilian Mittelstadt for the last-16 win against Denmark.
The stats
Spain won all three of their group matches to nil.
La Roja have scored 28 goals in their last 10 internationals.
Seven of Spain’s last 10 matches have featured over 2.5 goals.
Three of Germany’s last six wins were by a 2-0 scoreline.
Germany’s Jamal Musiala has scored in three of his four appearances at Euro 2024.
Die Mannschaft have scored two or more goals in 10 of their last 13 games.
Prediction
While rivals such as England and France have struggled for goals at the Euros, Spain and Germany have reached the quarter-finals in style and over 2.5 goals looks a good bet on Friday.
Spain warmed up for the finals by beating Andorra 5-0 and Northern Ireland 5-1 and they have continued in a similar vein, scoring nine times in victories over Croatia, Italy, Albania and Georgia.
They needed an own-goal to defeat Italy 1-0 but racked up 20 attempts at goal and should be confident of unsettling the tournament hosts.
Germany were grateful for VAR which disallowed a Joachim Andersen goal when their last-16 tie with Denmark was still 0-0.
A Kai Havertz penalty and a fine finish from the in-form Jamal Musiala settled that game and Germany had thumped Scotland 5-1 and beaten Hungary 2-0 in their first two Group A matches.
They needed an injury-time equaliser in a 1-1 draw with Switzerland on matchday three but won the shot count 18-4 and attack could be the best form of defence when they take on Spain in Stuttgart.
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